Modi’s Smaller Mandate Requires Coalition Support
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi is expected to win a third term, but with a smaller mandate than anticipated. This means that he will need to rely more on his allies for support in addressing critical issues such as unemployment, inflation, and economic inequalities in India. Unlike in previous elections, Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) will need coalition partners to secure a majority in the lower house of Parliament.
As the BJP is currently leading in 239 seats, down from 303 in the last election, Modi will have to navigate and manage Relationships with coalition partners more effectively than he has had to in the past. The reliance on allies to form a government signifies a shift in Modi’s leadership style, as previously, he did not require coalition support. The composition of the Cabinet and policy making are expected to be impacted by the involvement of alliance partners.
With regional leaders like N. Chandrababu Naidu and Nitish Kumar supporting Modi, populist and welfare policies are likely to take precedence. Modi will need to collaborate and negotiate with these leaders to address pressing issues such as unemployment and economic disparities. The BJP’s acknowledgment of the impact of unemployment in the election highlights the need for focused policies to tackle this challenge.
Economic Concerns and Modi’s Changing Campaign Strategy
India’s unemployment rate has been on the rise, and rural distress has increased due to declining incomes and rising Food prices. While headline inflation remains relatively low, food inflation has been significantly high, affecting the poor disproportionately. Modi’s promise to create millions of jobs annually has not materialized, leading to concerns about economic growth and wealth distribution in the country.
During the election campaign, Modi’s focus shifted from economic growth to polarizing issues, accusing the opposition of favoring minority groups over Hindus. This change in strategy was seen by some analysts as a sign of concern regarding the election outcome. The BJP’s performance in the polls fell short of expectations, indicating potential shifts in policy priorities and campaign messaging moving forward.
Moving forward, Modi will need to navigate a more complex political landscape, where coalition partners play a crucial role in governance and decision-making. As the BJP grapples with forming a government with diminished support, priorities may shift towards addressing immediate economic challenges and securing alliances with regional leaders. Modi’s ability to adapt to this new political reality will determine his success in addressing key issues facing India.
